Kurkikohtaus wrote: »Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »3. What you are doing is thinly veiled as something different. Your arguments clearly indicate you are attempting to do the same thing every one of those pro AH threads have done. You merely state having both in the game will prove something.
I think it would prove something, as stated above. And I am willing to accept that if in the described system both trading methods managed to co-exist indefinitely, then I would be wrong. And certainly if those who support guild-trading lead a successful boycott of the GAH, then I would of course be wrong as well.Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »Another example where you belittle those who do not support an AH as inexperienced and ill-informed.There is not a single experienced and well-informed (from other MMOs) BUYER who is AGAINST a global AH ... think about that.
Yes, looking at it now, that statement was badly worded. Since then I have changed my tone.
Now I would present that argument this way:
I cannot imagine that experienced and well-informed buyers would be AGAINST a global AH, because the advantages to the buyer, both serious and casual, are too great to overlook.Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »So in the end what you have presented in your OP is really just another AH thread except you call it a hypothesis. In the end you present the same baseless argument as everyone else yet somehow think it is more important.
Such is the nature of thought experiments. You propose something and try to understand what will happen and what it means. I don't think my "thought" is more important than anyone else's, except those who blindly claim that "the Majority" wants guild-traders, end of discussion.Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »To prove my point that your thread and your replies are merely nothing more than every other AH thread I will present what you posted on page 2.That quote serves another great example. Those in support of the guild traders have adapted. They might have resisted change in the beginning, but moved past that. It is probably the most illogical statement made in this entire thread.It is YOU, the SELLERS in the current system who are actually resisting change, because the prospect of adaptation is too daunting.
I stand by my statement quoted in your quote above. Within the context of ESO, people who engage in guild-trading have adapted to nothing, because that is all that there every was. If the system changed or had to compete concurrently with an alternative system, THEN people would have to adapt, and I think that is what some who support guild-trading fear.
Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »It's clear a great many of us adapted from an AH to thebtradrts because the trader eceonomy is robust and successful.
You come off as though your strongly stating we are neophytes to MMOs and/or MMO economies and your the wise expert with years of MMO economies. Your basically saying we have never seen anything but ESO's guild trader system.
Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »There will not be an AH in ESO anytime in the foreseeable further. the current system is robust and successful.
Kurkikohtaus wrote: »@Giles.floydub17_ESOIt's very hypocritical to state others comments lack basis and are illogical then state your admitted assumptions are based in logic.
Stating on the forums that "the Majority" of players like the system as it is, is at best a very strong application of perception bias, not taking into account the fact that those that voice their opinions here are but a sliver of the total game population and therefore cannot by definition constitute a majority. THAT is baseless.
Speculating that a large portion of the player population would indeed try out a new GAH system and trying to predict where that would lead is indeed an assumption, but a logical one.
If you cannot make this distinction, then I am afraid we will never find common ground.
Kyle1983b14_ESO wrote: »Kurkikohtaus wrote: »@Giles.floydub17_ESOIt's very hypocritical to state others comments lack basis and are illogical then state your admitted assumptions are based in logic.
Stating on the forums that "the Majority" of players like the system as it is, is at best a very strong application of perception bias, not taking into account the fact that those that voice their opinions here are but a sliver of the total game population and therefore cannot by definition constitute a majority. THAT is baseless.
Speculating that a large portion of the player population would indeed try out a new GAH system and trying to predict where that would lead is indeed an assumption, but a logical one.
If you cannot make this distinction, then I am afraid we will never find common ground.
Majority of players have played enough MMOs to understand what is good and bad about both systems.
AHs are good for large guilds and big traders and also help gold sellers immensely.
There are several similarities to real life markets implementations, there are book since at least 2001 that explain markets microstructure in depth (written by a former USA SEC former chief none the less).
You do realize the bots still sell gold in this game as well, they actually join trading guilds as well I noticed to get large sums of currency and still sell to the public for real $. No matter what system it is for an online game if its BoE, there will be a market for IRL transactions no matter how bad the economy is set up to be.
Tyreal1974 wrote: »What would happen if there was a Global AH probably depends on who you ask. For many, such as myself i would like it as it would make things easier on me when looking for stuff to spend my few bits of shinies on. For the Mega-Farmers and some others however it would be a the END OF THE WORLD as we know it.
notimetocare wrote: »Simple:
1. Buyers would be ecstatic for a short period as prices for everything plummeted.
2. The majority of buyers would be resellers. There are players with 10+ million gold. Gold tempers would liekly drop by 1/3 to half. Those rich players? They know how to manipulate a game market.
3. After a few months of price drop, the common price fixing present in every MMO auction house takes over. The average player can still make money undercutting, but usually they are selling to the big buyers who resell for 10-20% more than the first seller made. People that need to buy xTempers for their gear have to get lucky or pay the big guys jacked up prices.
4. Alchemy mats would follow suit, but slower (easier to get on someones own time than tempers)
5. By the time alchemy mats were controlled by a handful of big buyers, gear would have fallen cheap enough for the average player to buy, while big buyers now have tons of extra gold. Gear, which was once too costly to corner the market on, is now cheap and big buyers have the resources to control it. Not all of it, just the key, important pieces like your weapons or small slot world drops (that currently tend to be 2-3x the prices for say chest or legs).
6. Now everything important is controlled by a few dozen people. Sure, you can farm it yourself or farm the gold. It is not as if these people price items where they cannot be bought, but the 'good deals' are dead. Competition is dead. And one of the bigger issues? Gold goes nowhere. Traders drain millions from the economy weekly.
Dont believe this? Go play any MMORPG with an AH. Find the important resources. You will find a handful of people control the majority of the market.
Gold mats are 50 percent cheaper atm in guild stores than they were a year ago, all the trading guilds I'm in have gold mats for sale, most of the traders I stop at usually have them.....where is this so called scarcity?
Most guilds with traders are at maximum capacity with 500 members, and I know some members may overlap, but I bet if you tallied up all of the active members in ESO you would find that a majority of them are in a guild that has a trader atm.
I would only agree to a Global Auction house if it was located in Morrowind so that anyone who wanted to use it would have to buy the newest DLC Chapter.
Gold mats are 50 percent cheaper atm in guild stores than they were a year ago, all the trading guilds I'm in have gold mats for sale, most of the traders I stop at usually have them.....where is this so called scarcity?
No you are wrong the Silent Majority DOES want a global auction house. Not silent any longerKurkikohtaus wrote: »Many threads have been born about the lack of a global Auction House, they die, and then invariably resurface. We all know the "for" and "against" arguments in an EITHER / OR context, but let's take a look at the situation through a hypothetical scenario:
What would happen if ZOS did indeed introduce a global, server-wide one-stop auction house, the type found in WoW and SWTOR? And what if it was introduced IN PARALLEL to the existing system, so that they coincided?
My prediction is this: the thousands upon thousands of people who do not have access to good trading guilds would begin to sell their wares en masse in the new auction house, people would be undercutting each other on an hourly basis and prices for commodities and items alike would plummet due to their sheer availability. In a very short time, no one would visit guild traders anymore, because you would be guaranteed a lower price and a much more user-friendly search mechanism (with add-on help, of course) than at a trader.
In short, regardless of the positives that the guild trader system brings, the silent majority that vastly outnumbers the vocal few who support the guild trader mechanism would finally make their voice heard by selling commodities and items CHEAPLY and TO ALL on the open market.
Your entire theory is based on the assumption that the silent majority wants global ah. They are silent. How the vehk do you know?
Silent_Majority wrote: »No you are wrong the Silent Majority DOES want a global auction house. Not silent any longerKurkikohtaus wrote: »Many threads have been born about the lack of a global Auction House, they die, and then invariably resurface. We all know the "for" and "against" arguments in an EITHER / OR context, but let's take a look at the situation through a hypothetical scenario:
What would happen if ZOS did indeed introduce a global, server-wide one-stop auction house, the type found in WoW and SWTOR? And what if it was introduced IN PARALLEL to the existing system, so that they coincided?
My prediction is this: the thousands upon thousands of people who do not have access to good trading guilds would begin to sell their wares en masse in the new auction house, people would be undercutting each other on an hourly basis and prices for commodities and items alike would plummet due to their sheer availability. In a very short time, no one would visit guild traders anymore, because you would be guaranteed a lower price and a much more user-friendly search mechanism (with add-on help, of course) than at a trader.
In short, regardless of the positives that the guild trader system brings, the silent majority that vastly outnumbers the vocal few who support the guild trader mechanism would finally make their voice heard by selling commodities and items CHEAPLY and TO ALL on the open market.
Your entire theory is based on the assumption that the silent majority wants global ah. They are silent. How the vehk do you know?
Silent_Majority wrote: »No you are wrong the Silent Majority DOES want a global auction house. Not silent any longerKurkikohtaus wrote: »Many threads have been born about the lack of a global Auction House, they die, and then invariably resurface. We all know the "for" and "against" arguments in an EITHER / OR context, but let's take a look at the situation through a hypothetical scenario:
What would happen if ZOS did indeed introduce a global, server-wide one-stop auction house, the type found in WoW and SWTOR? And what if it was introduced IN PARALLEL to the existing system, so that they coincided?
My prediction is this: the thousands upon thousands of people who do not have access to good trading guilds would begin to sell their wares en masse in the new auction house, people would be undercutting each other on an hourly basis and prices for commodities and items alike would plummet due to their sheer availability. In a very short time, no one would visit guild traders anymore, because you would be guaranteed a lower price and a much more user-friendly search mechanism (with add-on help, of course) than at a trader.
In short, regardless of the positives that the guild trader system brings, the silent majority that vastly outnumbers the vocal few who support the guild trader mechanism would finally make their voice heard by selling commodities and items CHEAPLY and TO ALL on the open market.
Your entire theory is based on the assumption that the silent majority wants global ah. They are silent. How the vehk do you know?
OP: YOU HAVE NO PROOF WHAT THE SILENT MAJORITY WANTS AND YOUR OPINION IS BASELESS AND DUMB
Kurkikohtaus wrote: »OP: YOU HAVE NO PROOF WHAT THE SILENT MAJORITY WANTS AND YOUR OPINION IS BASELESS AND DUMB
Hey thanks for your insight, @Sigtric, don't mind me if I take your opinion with a grain of salt.
Of course I have no proof. But this is not a discussion about proof, because there will never be a GAH anyway. This is a discussion about trying to predict mass-population behaviour in a certain scenario.
I would be interested to know if anyone actually believes that in my scenario, the current guild-trading system would either happily co-exist with a global AH or perhaps even flip the tables on what I am saying and continue to be the "go to" trading system in a game. Can you envision a logical flow of events that would lead to that?
I imagine that a call for a boycott, both here on the forums and through various in-game channels would be a start, but it would also require massive discipline from sellers NOT to post items in the GAH for easy gold.
Can anyone offer an outline of how this might work?
What you quoted was not my opinion, but rather paraphrasing yours.
Comments past, you dismissed someone as being baseless and illogical because they couldn't possibly know the opinion of those who don't visit the forums yet your entire theory is based on the assumption that you do know.
Everyone knows a GAH would likely kill guild traders. Not because it's a better system but because it's familiar and low effort. Human nature is drawn to that.
Giles.floydub17_ESO wrote: »Silent_Majority wrote: »No you are wrong the Silent Majority DOES want a global auction house. Not silent any longerKurkikohtaus wrote: »Many threads have been born about the lack of a global Auction House, they die, and then invariably resurface. We all know the "for" and "against" arguments in an EITHER / OR context, but let's take a look at the situation through a hypothetical scenario:
What would happen if ZOS did indeed introduce a global, server-wide one-stop auction house, the type found in WoW and SWTOR? And what if it was introduced IN PARALLEL to the existing system, so that they coincided?
My prediction is this: the thousands upon thousands of people who do not have access to good trading guilds would begin to sell their wares en masse in the new auction house, people would be undercutting each other on an hourly basis and prices for commodities and items alike would plummet due to their sheer availability. In a very short time, no one would visit guild traders anymore, because you would be guaranteed a lower price and a much more user-friendly search mechanism (with add-on help, of course) than at a trader.
In short, regardless of the positives that the guild trader system brings, the silent majority that vastly outnumbers the vocal few who support the guild trader mechanism would finally make their voice heard by selling commodities and items CHEAPLY and TO ALL on the open market.
Your entire theory is based on the assumption that the silent majority wants global ah. They are silent. How the vehk do you know?
At least there is some humor, clear humor, in the forums.
Beardimus wrote:I hate the concept of AH. Loath it, wrecks a very cool part of the game right now. But i would have to adapt if it launched yes. Would i be pissed about it, yes. Same way i am over all the other casualizations the devs have made with the game to cater for lazy people.
Silent_Majority wrote: »No you are wrong the Silent Majority DOES want a global auction house. Not silent any longerKurkikohtaus wrote: »Many threads have been born about the lack of a global Auction House, they die, and then invariably resurface. We all know the "for" and "against" arguments in an EITHER / OR context, but let's take a look at the situation through a hypothetical scenario:
What would happen if ZOS did indeed introduce a global, server-wide one-stop auction house, the type found in WoW and SWTOR? And what if it was introduced IN PARALLEL to the existing system, so that they coincided?
My prediction is this: the thousands upon thousands of people who do not have access to good trading guilds would begin to sell their wares en masse in the new auction house, people would be undercutting each other on an hourly basis and prices for commodities and items alike would plummet due to their sheer availability. In a very short time, no one would visit guild traders anymore, because you would be guaranteed a lower price and a much more user-friendly search mechanism (with add-on help, of course) than at a trader.
In short, regardless of the positives that the guild trader system brings, the silent majority that vastly outnumbers the vocal few who support the guild trader mechanism would finally make their voice heard by selling commodities and items CHEAPLY and TO ALL on the open market.
Your entire theory is based on the assumption that the silent majority wants global ah. They are silent. How the vehk do you know?
Out of interest how long have you played ESO. The most passionate AH campainers are generally early on, fresh from other MMO's expecting a cut and paste.
its not about any degree of exclusivity, or eliteism, its about reward for hard work being my mindset in general over entitlement.
Kurkikohtaus wrote: »What you quoted was not my opinion, but rather paraphrasing yours.
Ok I guess. But please, I am not calling anyone or their opinion DUMB. The idea that "the majority" wants the current system IS baseless though.Comments past, you dismissed someone as being baseless and illogical because they couldn't possibly know the opinion of those who don't visit the forums yet your entire theory is based on the assumption that you do know.
NO. I am predicting mass-behaviour in a given scenario, analyzing trends and challenging people to propose an alternative course of events to the ones I have laid out. As you said:Everyone knows a GAH would likely kill guild traders. Not because it's a better system but because it's familiar and low effort. Human nature is drawn to that.
I agree. I challenge those who believe guild-traders would survive or perhaps even dominate a concurrent scenario to refute this very argument.
No-AH camp are agreeing with you. AH would undermine and trash traders through peoples laziness. Do we want it? NO. But would we have to use it when it because the only viable system YES. would it being value to the game. NO.
Crafts_Many_Boxes wrote: »I'm gonna make this real, real simple. The current system favors sellers / those with lots and lots of time to devote to watching the markets. They are the ones speaking up here. Shocking, I know.
Those of us who are just trying to play the darn game, kill mobs, hunt through delves and public dungeons with friends, do dungeons, absolutely despise this system. It makes finding anything a huge pain for us. If I have two hours to play a night, I don't want to spend one of those hours finding an item. That's incredibly dumb.
And you know why there aren't more of us speaking up on here, making it seem like we're somehow in the minority? Because most of us can't be bothered with the forums. We either don't have the time or don't care enough to be on here, but I would challenge anyone to prove me wrong. For the record, I'm only on here because I have a desk job with a lot of downtime. I wouldn't waste my precious free time at home on the forums, and I doubt I'm alone.
I'd literally post a video of myself eating a shoe if someone can prove to me that a majority of players in the game would rather have the current system than a global or regional AH.
Everyone's trying to input some sort of economics perspective into this. And that's cool and all, and I'm sure some people even know what they're talking about, but here's a little secret for ya: those of us who want an AH to happen? We don't care. We don't care about ANY of the points you guys are making, because the system sucks for us.
The AH could be a giant dumpster fire and completely tank whatever "economy" currently exists, but guess what? That would still be an improvement for most of us. That's how awful this current system is for a buyer who's not trying to devote their time to playing the market. Better an all-inclusive dumpster fire than the glorified boys club that is guild traders.