MushmouthThomas wrote: »I have done MSA 5 or 6 times. All but 1 were during 2x. I got a sharpened dagger, sharped 2h axe, and maybe a sharped 1h mace. I got a couple resto staves and 2 hand mauls I think as well. I got my first bow after the 2x event ended. I have yet to get a destro staff or 1 hand axe.
rotaugen454 wrote: »Are the drop rates identical on all traits, or are they weighted?
Reorx_Holybeard wrote: »rotaugen454 wrote: »Are the drop rates identical on all traits, or are they weighted?
Traits are supposed to be identical. There was a dev post a while back that showed the trait percentage drop across all players showing it to be equal. More recently there was a thread with combined VMA +1000 runs that showed similar trends (sharpened actually was slightly more common in that data set).
Opposite is true.. given enough people (like where ZOS claims there are millions of active acounts) it's statistically almost impossible to not happen to a few peopleHamiltonmath wrote: »It's almost statistically impossible for that to happen
Hamiltonmath wrote: »And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
It's almost statistically impossible for that to happen. And you have NO usable reward? No precise daggers/axes/bows? No powered resto?
Nope. No precise weapons, no sharpened weapons, no defending weapons, no powered resto. Statistically, I've been screwed.
strikeback1247 wrote: »How is this thread not closed already?
Hamiltonmath wrote: »And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
It's almost statistically impossible for that to happen. And you have NO usable reward? No precise daggers/axes/bows? No powered resto?
Nope. No precise weapons, no sharpened weapons, no defending weapons, no powered resto. Statistically, I've been screwed.
Hamiltonmath wrote: »And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
It's almost statistically impossible for that to happen. And you have NO usable reward? No precise daggers/axes/bows? No powered resto?
Nope. No precise weapons, no sharpened weapons, no defending weapons, no powered resto. Statistically, I've been screwed.
Man, I would just LOVE to review your "recorded" runs.
All "300" of them.
I have done 300 runs and never got a sharpened Stam Weapon other than bow.Its possible to be screwed by RNG especially when the only use able trait is sharpened.xskinzcity wrote: »After 51 runs im only missing sharpened maul, battle axe and daggers.
Opposite is true.. given enough people (like where ZOS claims there are millions of active acounts) it's statistically almost impossible to not happen to a few peopleHamiltonmath wrote: »It's almost statistically impossible for that to happen
Here are some nice charts: https://forums.elderscrollsonline.com/en/discussion/comment/3562944
TLDR explanation: even if there's a 95% chance to get your specific destro staff after 450 runs (numbers taken from one of the charts) that's still not a guaranteed drop!
That's about 50 000 people out of a million who will be crying and having nightmares about vMA!
My conclusion: ZOS is making a lot of players unhappy with their f**ed up and unfair RNG system.
One could say "it's fair, because everyone has the same chances" - shut up, I say it's unfair, because some people have to put a lot more work into it than others to get the same reward .
...after all, we want to play a game, not take part in a lottery.
And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
Completed it 700+ times myself easily - 100 runs on twitch currently give or take.
In 100 runs - I got all sharpen weapons apart from lightning sharpen which came later...
I really don't believe you, and if you're telling the absolute truth I feel sorry for you...
But at this time... I'm going to call it how I see it as the comment 300+ runs no sharpen as rubbish.
Sorry bud.
I have done 300 runs and never got a sharpened Stam Weapon other than bow.Its possible to be screwed by RNG especially when the only use able trait is sharpened.xskinzcity wrote: »After 51 runs im only missing sharpened maul, battle axe and daggers.
And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
Yea it sucks I used to do 3-5 runs a day and during the event I did about 7 every day.I have 2 sharpened Inferno's and 2 sharp Ice staffs but I don't enjoy Playing magica and would gladly give that to someone Else,for a sharpened Greatsword and Maul.Zos hates me I guess.xskinzcity wrote: »I have done 300 runs and never got a sharpened Stam Weapon other than bow.Its possible to be screwed by RNG especially when the only use able trait is sharpened.xskinzcity wrote: »After 51 runs im only missing sharpened maul, battle axe and daggers.
That is awful. I got my sharpened bow and greatsword during my first 25 runs or so. Seriously though 300 runs and no sharpened stam weapon i'd lose my mind. I plan on running it few more times for the maul. I always have 2-3 characters on the leaderboard each week but all i get from my rewards are gold infused lightning staves or charged axes lmao.
Heck, I even have two sharpened inferno staves! And I'm a stam build. ...
Yea it sucks I used to do 3-5 runs a day and during the event I did about 7 every day.I have 2 sharpened Inferno's and 2 sharp Ice staffs but I don't enjoy Playing magica and would gladly give that to someone Else,for a sharpened Greatsword and Maul.Zos hates me I guess.xskinzcity wrote: »I have done 300 runs and never got a sharpened Stam Weapon other than bow.Its possible to be screwed by RNG especially when the only use able trait is sharpened.xskinzcity wrote: »After 51 runs im only missing sharpened maul, battle axe and daggers.
That is awful. I got my sharpened bow and greatsword during my first 25 runs or so. Seriously though 300 runs and no sharpened stam weapon i'd lose my mind. I plan on running it few more times for the maul. I always have 2-3 characters on the leaderboard each week but all i get from my rewards are gold infused lightning staves or charged axes lmao.
Heck, I even have two sharpened inferno staves! And I'm a stam build. ...
Reorx_Holybeard wrote: »
Either your RNG is broken or you aren't being completely honest in the loot distribution. The chance to have 0 precise, sharpened, or defending weapons in 300 runs is:Traits = 3 out of 9 = 33% Chance = (1 - 0.33) ^ 300 = 6.6e-53
Now in a large MMO like ESO you'd expect to see rare events happen from time to time just due to the number of people playing. Perhaps 1 in a million (1e-6) or maybe even 1 in a billion (1e-9) but something with a chance of 6e-53 means something is terrible wrong somewhere
Completed it 700+ times myself easily - 100 runs on twitch currently give or take.
And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
I've got to ask; I love this game, and I've been playing since beta, but, 300 runs? Really?
And not a single sharpened weapon of any kind. I have an excel table with dates, times, loot drops and score for 300 runs that I've recorded over the past year. You can not seriously tell me this is acceptable. (not, I tried to cut and paste the contents of the table here, but it contained too much text apparently). Can you offer me any sort of feedback for this apart from "working as intended"? Because if I as a player, dedicated an ABSURD amount of time to this without ANY usable reward, I honestly cant justify spending my free time here. Note that the 300 are just the RECORDED runs, there has been a few more....
I've got to ask; I love this game, and I've been playing since beta, but, 300 runs? Really?
RNG is a ***. Chances are slim that this sort of thing can happen, but it's not impossible. You can use all the math in the world to try and prove this wrong, but a persons luck, in this sort of thing, will trump statistics.