Just luck. I have does maelstrom less than 10 times, I only wanted the snb but I got an infused inferno staff and a bow in them runs, my luck is usually terrible.

I am not skilled enough for vMA yet but when I am I will probably get the inferno staff immediately. Why? Because I prefer the lightning staff and my inferno (on my double destruction staff magblade) is my backup that hardly gets used. I suppose these weapons are bound like everything else good?

I don't really see the harm in a token system for vMA tbh.

pelle412 wrote: »

I think there are 11 different drops from vMA (3 destros, 1 resto, 3 2Hs, DW, 2 S/B combos, and a bow). The chance of not getting an inferno after 60 drops mathematically is about 0.33%. This assumes each one has equal chance to drop.

Exactly...I'm reposting something from a different thread because it relates directly to this discussion.

<<<<>>>>>>

out of 116 runs I got 10 inferno staffs which is about 9%, but that includes some leader board and double drops so I don't have an exact percent on just single chest drops/run.

https://forums.elderscrollsonline.com/en/discussion/466103/vma-drops#latest

On weighted drops...we do know that weighted drop system is used in the game, lots of examples of "rare" drops meaning some items have a lower weighted chance to drop. We assume, but do not know if equal weighting is used for VMA. When people say that's "RNG" I think this is referring to an assumed equal probability system and you just have bad luck.

On RNG, this stands for Random Number Generator which is interesting because the sequence of numbers produced by an RNG is anything but random it has random like patterns but it is actually a generator sequence of numbers based on an algorithm from a starting seed. Eventually these sequences repeat themselves. This assumes RNG theory hasn't changed in recent past.

Each one of us may have different seeds thusly creating our own set of random numbers and our sequence may have far fewer numbers (or even no numbers) that match to a low weighted item...meaning it is possible that you may not be able to get a drop when someone else may see a lot. This would obviously not be intended by developers but would be extremely hard to diagnose. Why? because the natural answer is ...that's just RNG man... some people have good luck and some people have bad luck".... or it can be some people have better random number sequences for certain low drop items and others have bad ones, implying your chance is not equal and not the same as everyone else's. I am not saying this is the case, but I it is possible. One way to test this would be to take the probability of an event not happening after say 100 tries. If you get 1 in a billion and yet this is what happened to you have to wonder if things are as equally random as we think.

I have a theory that individual characters may have specific seeds producing their own set of RNG's. If you have trouble getting a drop try using another character. Again this is just pure speculation. Or as people say it could just be RNG man.

Lytw8

I JUST GOT MY FIRST ONE! After 90 runs. I jumped out of my chair with happiness.[/quote]

zaria wrote: »

Still looking for the bow

Nah I have 4 bows. I just didn't log on to my stam characters to update Inventory Insight.