I’m worried we won’t get the mount!

Unless something drastic happens, I don't see it happening.

Nulami wrote: »

I see them giving out the house. To fail to do that would hurt them too much.

Also, who said that the meter was an accurate representation of how many people have the achievement? They could just be "building suspense" by moving the needle slowly.

Will agree with that. For all we know it's already decided how much the meter will increase everyday, regardless of how many get the achievement. It would just be bad press and bad publicity if we don't even get the mount.

But it's Saturday evening, I will wait and see until Monday.

Hey can someone at ZOS rig the event please?

Hey ZoS can we see the actual numbers on the bar? Think this thing is just a sham so we don’t get the house and HAVE to buy it instead of getting it for free .-.

Like seriously, with all the people in Summerset I think the bar would be a bit higher than 47%

If....IF the meter reaches 100% it wont be until the last day, after building suspense, and followed by, "due to a rally of players at the LAST MINUTE we are happy to announce success!"

But no matter how hard we try they won't show 100% before the last day as that's basically saying "Good job you all got the house. No need to buy or gift summerset or work on the achievement. See ya 10/10 for your stuff."

I don't see 100% as a realistic target to shoot for... or to set actually. I would say they really don't want to give out free ginormous houses that they could get a ton money for instead. So the house is a non-starter.. and really not a good idea by Z, since it's only going to generate bad feelings in the community toward them which i'm pretty sure was not what they wanted to achieve out of this whole exercise - so not a smart move there guys... *shakes head* They would have been better off just leaving the house out - or giving out a smaller house for 85%... something like that.

The mount is a much more realistic goal - we may actually be able to get there.

On PS4 NA and EU, there seems to be tremendous activity from this event, judging by area text chat and activity at Dusk Keep (where I spent some time). That's completely unscientific, though.

The drop in Friday completions is a surprise. I expected the first 6 days after the Tuesday announcement to show rising completions through the weekend, followed by a drop early next week, then a race of sorts to the end. This projection seemed reasonable to me, whether the results were based on actual player enthusiasm or perhaps 'massaged' somewhat.

I hope the Friday result proves to be a fluke.

VDoom1 wrote: »

Only 47%...o.o. A 5% increase? What? That feels crazy after the livestream and everyone running around last night.

Okay, I'm starting to think this might indeed be rigged. Seems like no matter if everyone who ever owned ESO did this achievement, it would still say 47%.

It's not "rigged". It's what was expected. Most looked at the house and thought, "Yay, it can be mine!"

Not so fast.

It's simply a mathematical return on known data. Initially, of course you'll get a boost...because the system has to register everyone who already bought it. Then, it should, decline in percentages thereafter. Which is why I was a little surprised to think everyone was under the impression we'd get to 100 in a few days or so. The percentages will exponentially be less as the days roll on. It could bottom out at an average of 2% per day, but that's ZOS's in-house knowledge they probably won't share, so who knows what the average daily new purchasing rate is of Summerset.

The chances you'll get another 10% spike would be rare and I wouldn't expect it.

My guess, everyone will get a cool free mount, as planned. I'm ok with it, but for those who thought they'd get a 15K crown house or whatever, they should have done the math first and also realized how likely it was that everyone would get such a prize.

So, once again, I don't particularly blame ZOS or think this was a rigged game. It was your basic mathematical event where people just don't realize the odds of getting the top tier prize, and assuming they would get it as well.

The 100% completion goal on the Summerfall Event progress meter is a goal-post we set when designing this event that we believe our players have a high likelihood of reaching. We want our players to have fun with this event and successfully earn all three event rewards, and we chose a goal with that in mind.

While we aren’t disclosing numbers, we can confirm that “100%” does not mean 100% of all players who own ESO or even ESO: Summerset.

I'd estimate the current activity to end around 90% or so. Which is really good. I think the chances of everyone getting a Villa is possible, but the last few days are going to be really important.

I have saved crowns for that Psijic Villa, so if it doesn't become available for free from this event, I really, really hope that they make it available on the store. I want that manor.

Amarlado wrote: »

I have saved crowns for that Psijic Villa, so if it doesn't become available for free from this event, I really, really hope that they make it available on the store. I want that manor.

I am in the same boat Amarlado. I would be stoked to get this house for free, but honestly I saved up for it, and I just want to get it.
Hopefully they won't delay making it available to buy if we dont reach the goal in the end.
I sincerely hope we will, of course. I logged into EU and NA, did it on both, and even dusted off a second account ive not used at all and will be getting it on NA and EU with that account as well.
But I really dont want to have to wait months longer to get the Villa if we dont reach 100%.

ObsidianDoll wrote: »

Will Summerfall also be available to ESO PLUS users who havent bought Summerset?

Next year most likely