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The Crown Crates drop rates seem bugged
Nemesis7884
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In all the crown crates i opened i got 5 times one of the seasonal mounts FIVE TIMES it was the SAME mount - the wolf
You know what the probability is that this happens? 0.032%
yeah, sorry but something is either bugged or influenced, saying that this is unlikely is a grandious understatement, I am more likely to get eaten by a shark than this...
Edited by Nemesis7884 on June 19, 2020 7:16AM You know what the probability is that this happens? 0.032%
yeah, sorry but something is either bugged or influenced, saying that this is unlikely is a grandious understatement, I am more likely to get eaten by a shark than this...
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Urvoth✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭My friend got 2 radiant apex mounts after opening 5 crates...I've opened 109 and haven't gotten any, it's just how crates are.Edited by Urvoth on June 19, 2020 4:50PM5 -
SidraWillowsky✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭Somewhere there exists a spreadsheet that has tracked the drop rates of crown crate items.
The drop rates of the good stuff are low. Absurdly low- much lower than you'd think, actually. If you have the money to spend to open hundreds go right ahead, but they're rigged beyond belief.11 -
Nemesis7884✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭✭✭im not talking about the drop chance to get something good, im talking about the fact that i got 5 times a mount and 5 times it was the same mount which from the selection of 5 mounts has a 0.032% probability to happen - im sorry but i just can not see how this is just bad luck0 -
volkeswagon✭✭✭✭✭
✭It's at the point where I just buy a pack of 15 when they first come out. I never try to get any apex stuff because I know I won't get them and don't really like any of them anyway. I pretend they don't exist. I like getting the emotes, skins, pets, costumes and furnishings6 -
Linaleah✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭✭✭Nemesis7884 wrote: »im not talking about the drop chance to get something good, im talking about the fact that i got 5 times a mount and 5 times it was the same mount which from the selection of 5 mounts has a 0.032% probability to happen - im sorry but i just can not see how this is just bad luck
at least you get plenty of gems out of it and can easily buy other mounts. you know what bad luck is? getting the same cheap hat 6 times in a row for a WHOLE 5 gems back per hat with the rest being consumables.dirty worthless casual.
Lois McMaster Bujold "A Civil Campaign"Reputation is what other people know about you. Honor is what you know about yourself. Guard your honor. Let your reputation fall where it will. And outlive the ***10 -
Chivana✭✭✭I don't know if the droprates are bugged or working as intended, to be honest I don't even care... But I wan't to THANK YOU all for wasting your money buying crown crates and keeping the game free to play for me!Chivana "Amazon Queen" Krelog (Chivana@Chivana)1
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volkeswagon✭✭✭✭✭
✭I don't know if the droprates are bugged or working as intended, to be honest I don't even care... But I wan't to THANK YOU all for wasting your money buying crown crates and keeping the game free to play for me!
how is it free to play for you? [snip]
[Edited to remove Baiting]Edited by ZOS_ConnorG on June 19, 2020 11:54AM3 -
bluebird✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭Your own, or your friend's personal drop rates will never give a comprehensive picture of drop rates.
The site [snip] tracks drop rates from multiple sources.
It's not perfect since not everyone who opens crates contributes their data, but it's better than anecdotes.
There's no data for the Nightfall ones yet, but the previous Gloomspore crates had a 2% drop chance of an Apex card.
Looking at random previous Crates, the Baandaari, Storm Atronach, and Psijic Vault all had a 2% chance of Apex too.
So... getting 5 seasonal mounts was actually incredibly lucky for you. The gems you got from the duplicates are even worth more than if you had gotten different mounts you didn't actually want, because you can spend the gems on ones you do want. There are tons of people who open Crates and never see a single Apex.
All of that randomness is within the scope of the drop rates - that's why they are gambling crates.
[Edited to remove Advertising]Edited by ZOS_ConnorG on June 19, 2020 11:56AM3 -
bluebird✭✭✭✭✭
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Back when they were still giving out free Crates at the beginning of each season, there were several people who got Apex and even Radiant Apex mounts from those free 3 Crates... while others who actually bought 30+ Crates didn't manage to get any. I remember because the bragging and the salt in guild chat used to increase during those promotions lolArtorias24 wrote: »
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RNG is RNG. So these variations are all statistically possible.0 -
VDoom1✭✭✭✭✭Not sure if I'm lucky or unlucky. Never ever since 2014 had a radiant Apex mount drop. However I did get the normal Apex curse horse and normal Apex curse guar yesterday.
Still can some changes be made? So you're guaranteed to always get at least two epic or better items? Just bugs me how many potions, pots, mimic stones etc, we always get.We Fight For Cyrodiil.
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ScardyFox✭✭✭✭✭This is why you never spend money to buy crates/crowns, if people would stop paying for their unscrupulous practices they might actually just make a shop for you to click and purchase what you want. Its a fool's game that feeds a deceitful business model.Edited by ScardyFox on June 19, 2020 7:20AM10 -
WiseSky✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭Nemesis7884 wrote: »In all the crown crates i opened i got 5 times one of the seasonal mounts FIVE TIMES it was the SAME mount - the wolf
You know what the probability is that this happens? 0.032%
yeah, sorry but something is either bugged or influenced, saying that this is unlikely is a grandious understatement, I am more likely to get eaten by a shark than this...
getting an apex mount in 0.09%
your probability was 0.03%
so everyday life0 -
Curious_Death✭✭✭✭✭My friend got 2 radiant apex mounts after opening 5 crates...I've opened 109 and haven't gotten any.
it reminds me a duel with my friend... we both had resources... we both had opportunity to hit eachother... but his skills hits me ... mine didnt work... he killed me... then my delayed dmg killed him with my dots...
maybe ur loot is also delayed? and open one more
gambler's paradox0 -
Thevampirenight✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭Nemesis7884 wrote: »im not talking about the drop chance to get something good, im talking about the fact that i got 5 times a mount and 5 times it was the same mount which from the selection of 5 mounts has a 0.032% probability to happen - im sorry but i just can not see how this is just bad luck
Your complaining about getting a apex mount 5 times? Wow that is an new one, its like someone complaining about winning the jackpot.
You should be grateful the Rng choose to favor you. 132 Gems each time the mount is drawn. You can buy other radiant mounts with that or the new Accursed Death which by far is the best looking polymorph Zenimax has ever made.
PC NA
Please add Fangs to Vampires.2 -
Nemesis7884✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭✭✭Thevampirenight wrote: »Nemesis7884 wrote: »im not talking about the drop chance to get something good, im talking about the fact that i got 5 times a mount and 5 times it was the same mount which from the selection of 5 mounts has a 0.032% probability to happen - im sorry but i just can not see how this is just bad luck
Your complaining about getting a apex mount 5 times? Wow that is an new one, its like someone complaining about winning the jackpot.
You should be grateful the Rng choose to favor you. 132 Gems each time the mount is drawn. You can buy other radiant mounts with that or the new Accursed Death which by far is the best looking polymorph Zenimax has ever made.
you dont know how many crates it took ^^2 -
relentless_turnip✭✭✭✭✭
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I can't tell if you're joking, but I'm pretty sure you can only get a radiant apex from a bonus card.Edited by ZOS_ConnorG on June 19, 2020 11:59AM0 -
dhboy123✭✭✭✭Edited by ZOS_ConnorG on June 19, 2020 11:59AM0
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tmbrinks✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭✭✭Nemesis7884 wrote: »In all the crown crates i opened i got 5 times one of the seasonal mounts FIVE TIMES it was the SAME mount - the wolf
You know what the probability is that this happens? 0.032%
yeah, sorry but something is either bugged or influenced, saying that this is unlikely is a grandious understatement, I am more likely to get eaten by a shark than this...
0.032%
or
1 in ~3000
Do you think 3000 people opened crates?
Who do you think is most likely to "complain" about "poor luck"
It's just RNG.
Also, the situation you're describing is 0.077% likelihood or about 1 in 1300Edited by tmbrinks on June 19, 2020 12:55PMThe Unshattered - Tenacious Dreamer - Hurricane Herald - Xalvakka's Scourge - Godslayer - Dawnbringer - Gryphon Heart - Tick Tock Tormenter - Immortal Redeemer - Dro-m'Athra DestroyerThe Unchained - The Brilliant - Moth Trusted - The Just - Oathsworn - Bedlam's Disciple - Temporal Tempest - Curator's Champion - Fist of Tava - Invader's Bane - Land, Air, and Sea Supremacy - Zero Regrets - Battlespire's Best - Bastion Breaker - Ardent Bibliophile - Subterranean Smasher - Bane of Thorns - True Genius - In Defiance of Death - No Rest for the Wicked - Nature's Wrath - Undying Endurance - Relentless Raider - Depths Defier - Apex Predator - Pure Lunacy - Mountain God - Leave No Bone Unbroken - CoS/RoM/BF/FH Challenger71,345 achievement points0 -
Nemesis7884✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭✭✭Thevampirenight wrote: »Nemesis7884 wrote: »im not talking about the drop chance to get something good, im talking about the fact that i got 5 times a mount and 5 times it was the same mount which from the selection of 5 mounts has a 0.032% probability to happen - im sorry but i just can not see how this is just bad luck
Your complaining about getting a apex mount 5 times? Wow that is an new one, its like someone complaining about winning the jackpot.
You should be grateful the Rng choose to favor you. 132 Gems each time the mount is drawn. You can buy other radiant mounts with that or the new Accursed Death which by far is the best looking polymorph Zenimax has ever made.
you dont know how many crates it took ^^1 -
Nemesis7884✭✭✭✭✭
✭✭✭✭✭Thevampirenight wrote: »Nemesis7884 wrote: »im not talking about the drop chance to get something good, im talking about the fact that i got 5 times a mount and 5 times it was the same mount which from the selection of 5 mounts has a 0.032% probability to happen - im sorry but i just can not see how this is just bad luck
Your complaining about getting a apex mount 5 times? Wow that is an new one, its like someone complaining about winning the jackpot.
You should be grateful the Rng choose to favor you. 132 Gems each time the mount is drawn. You can buy other radiant mounts with that or the new Accursed Death which by far is the best looking polymorph Zenimax has ever made.
you dont know how many crates it took ^^Nemesis7884 wrote: »In all the crown crates i opened i got 5 times one of the seasonal mounts FIVE TIMES it was the SAME mount - the wolf
You know what the probability is that this happens? 0.032%
yeah, sorry but something is either bugged or influenced, saying that this is unlikely is a grandious understatement, I am more likely to get eaten by a shark than this...
0.032%
or
1 in ~3000
Do you think 3000 people opened crates?
Who do you think is most likely to "complain" about "poor luck"
It's just RNG.
Also, the situation you're describing is 0.077% likelihood or about 1 in 1300
no wrong im calculating the probability to get 5 times the same mount out of a selection of 5 which is as stated0 -
Milchbart✭✭✭✭Nemesis7884 wrote: »In all the crown crates i opened i got 5 times one of the seasonal mounts FIVE TIMES it was the SAME mount - the wolf
You know what the probability is that this happens? 0.032%
yeah, sorry but something is either bugged or influenced, saying that this is unlikely is a grandious understatement, I am more likely to get eaten by a shark than this...
Don't go swimming in the ocean in the near future ...
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Galwylin✭✭✭✭✭Back when they were still giving out free Crates at the beginning of each season, there were several people who got Apex and even Radiant Apex mounts from those free 3 Crates...
The only mount I ever got was from one of those free crates (dwarven wolf). Thankfully I've never liked any of the mounts in those crates not even that one for them to have a draw for me. I like to gamble too but they just don't make the crates worth bothering with to me. Much like the store of late. Nothing has been appealing to me in over a year I guess. Anything that pipes my interest usually has a price that knocks it back down and the crates seem the worse offenders considering the price you'd probably end up paying. Have the same issue with GW2 chests.
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yRaven✭✭✭✭My friend opened 150 Crates, got only 2 Normal Apex and that's it, he didn't even got repeated Apex. I opened less then 15 got the Apex Horse i want and proceed to never buy it again.
Never go trying to get Legendary Apex my friend, they're just RNG you can open 900 Crates and don't get any and another person can open 3 Crates and get on first try, it's pure RNG, there's no % to it.Edited by yRaven on June 19, 2020 2:29PMJack of all trades. Master of at least one.
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