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37 Molag Bal runs and counting, no skin..

andreasranasen
andreasranasen
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Done it with a 12 man group 37 times now and counting, only 1 person have gotten the skin drop. [PS4/NA]

In my NICKI MINAJ voice, ZOS What's guuud?
#VMATOKENSYSTEM #WEAPONDYE #TRAITCHANGE #CROWNCRATELOVER
  • Alliance/Platform: Aldemerii - PS4/NA - CP 800+
  • Mag Sorc: Arya Rosendahl - Altmer - Highelf
  • KatzMainTank
    KatzMainTank
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    just pay 5.5k crowns and you can have the mind-shriven skin, mount, AND pet rat. Such a good deal :|
    EP - V12 - Crafter
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  • Asmael
    Asmael
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    It's ok, if there's 1 drop for 12 peeps in 37 runs, that's only one in 444, it's AT LEAST 0.22%~ chance to drop per person on average.

    Yes it's 0.22%, not 22%.
    PC EU - Zahraji of the Void, aka "Kitty", the fluffiest salmon genocider in town.
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  • Necrelios
    Necrelios
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    Join the club :s
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  • Cazzy
    Cazzy
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    just pay 5.5k crowns and you can have the mind-shriven skin, mount, AND pet rat. Such a good deal :|

    That's a different skin though :wink:
  • Lord_Eomer
    Lord_Eomer
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    Done it with a 12 man group 37 times now and counting, only 1 person have gotten the skin drop. [PS4/NA]

    In my NICKI MINAJ voice, ZOS What's guuud?

    At least you got plenty of tel wars :-)

    I am on AD and suffering from DC and EP groups :wink:
  • andreasranasen
    andreasranasen
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    just pay 5.5k crowns and you can have the mind-shriven skin, mount, AND pet rat. Such a good deal :|

    Not gonna pay $40 for a skin lol. I already have the DLC lol. Wish they sold it separately -_-
    #VMATOKENSYSTEM #WEAPONDYE #TRAITCHANGE #CROWNCRATELOVER
    • Alliance/Platform: Aldemerii - PS4/NA - CP 800+
    • Mag Sorc: Arya Rosendahl - Altmer - Highelf
  • MrAppleman
    MrAppleman
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    The skinny you get is different than the skin you buy
  • ADarklore
    ADarklore
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    Will most likely be the same 'drop rate' when the new 'lottery boxes' debut.
    CP: 2105 ** ESO+ ** ~~ ***** Strictly a solo PvE quester *****
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  • andreasranasen
    andreasranasen
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    ADarklore wrote: »
    Will most likely be the same 'drop rate' when the new 'lottery boxes' debut.

    Unfortunately yes
    #VMATOKENSYSTEM #WEAPONDYE #TRAITCHANGE #CROWNCRATELOVER
    • Alliance/Platform: Aldemerii - PS4/NA - CP 800+
    • Mag Sorc: Arya Rosendahl - Altmer - Highelf
  • nimander99
    nimander99
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    just pay 5.5k crowns and you can have the mind-shriven skin, mount, AND pet rat. Such a good deal :|

    Not gonna pay $40 for a skin lol. I already have the DLC lol. Wish they sold it separately -_-

    They did... When the DLC came out a year ago. Wish you would've bought it then. Maybe we wouldn't be getting gambling boxes had you folks just bought the stuff you want now, back when it was available. That sounds like victim blaming, sorry :p
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    Male, Dunmer, VR16, Templar, Aldmeri Dominion, Master Crafter & all Traits, CP450
  • Recremen
    Recremen
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    12 person group running 37 times, that's 12*37 chances to get the drop, or 444 attempts when taken together. If one person got the drop out of 444 runs, and assuming they did not ever get a duplicate, then based only on your samples the drop rate is about 1/444 or 0.23%. But for today only that drop rate has doubled!! So that's 0.46%. With that, we can calculate your individual chance of success depending on how many runs you want to do! If you want to do 50 runs, you have about a 20.2% chance of getting it. If you want to run it 100 times, you have about 36.3% chance of success!

    For more fun math facts about RNG, visit my RNG thread!
    Men'Do PC NA AD Khajiit
    Grand High Illustrious Mid-Tier PvP/PvE Bussmunster
  • Ayantir
    Ayantir
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    Working as Intended © ZOS
    Obsessive Compulsive Elder Scrolls addons Coder
    A Few millions downloads of ESO addons now.
    Master crafter on my main char since release. All tradeskills, recipes \o/, researchs (since long), 35 styles known
    My little french Guild: Cercle de l'Eveil
  • andreasranasen
    andreasranasen
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    Recremen wrote: »
    12 person group running 37 times, that's 12*37 chances to get the drop, or 444 attempts when taken together. If one person got the drop out of 444 runs, and assuming they did not ever get a duplicate, then based only on your samples the drop rate is about 1/444 or 0.23%. But for today only that drop rate has doubled!! So that's 0.46%. With that, we can calculate your individual chance of success depending on how many runs you want to do! If you want to do 50 runs, you have about a 20.2% chance of getting it. If you want to run it 100 times, you have about 36.3% chance of success!

    For more fun math facts about RNG, visit my RNG thread!

    That's just about nothing. Making it no point to actually try.
    #VMATOKENSYSTEM #WEAPONDYE #TRAITCHANGE #CROWNCRATELOVER
    • Alliance/Platform: Aldemerii - PS4/NA - CP 800+
    • Mag Sorc: Arya Rosendahl - Altmer - Highelf
  • Cryptical
    Cryptical
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    Recremen wrote: »
    12 person group running 37 times, that's 12*37 chances to get the drop, or 444 attempts when taken together. If one person got the drop out of 444 runs, and assuming they did not ever get a duplicate, then based only on your samples the drop rate is about 1/444 or 0.23%. But for today only that drop rate has doubled!! So that's 0.46%.

    Stop right there.

    0.23% is the sampled rate, right now. And right now is double the normal rate. So cut 0.23% in half for the 'normal' rate.

    0.115%.

    Yes, just a hair more than a chance of one tenth of a percent. Just a hair more often than 1 in 1000, in number-of-runs terms.

    Xbox NA
  • Troneon
    Troneon
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    When they say they increased drop chance what they mean is they "broke" it and no ETA on fix...


    Edited by Troneon on August 29, 2016 9:07PM
    PC EU AD
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  • Runs
    Runs
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    lol 37 is cute.

    One of my guildies stopped trying somewhere in the 800's I believe. He took a break, I believe for school work it was around finals time, and I haven't noticed him back since.
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  • Laplace
    Laplace
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    What I want to know is why only the top 10 DPS and 2 healers get to loot him at all.

    >in b4 git gud

    I've been able to loot him every time, doesn't make it any less stupid and unfair.
  • Thevampirenight
    Thevampirenight
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    This is my rp soul shriven, rp wise she is a soul shriven :) I am so happy I have this skin and I did not have to farm for it. But I hope they made it easier to get though for those that want it.
    Screenshot_20160828_183751.png
    Edited by Thevampirenight on August 29, 2016 10:32PM
    PC NA
    Please add Fangs to Vampires.
  • ArchMikem
    ArchMikem
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    You guys are going through all this trouble just so your character can look like a Zombie.
    CP2,100 Master Explorer - AvA Two Star Warlord - Console Peasant - Khajiiti Aficionado - The Clan
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  • Pandorii
    Pandorii
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    Can you say more about the person that got the drop? What faction was he/she on? How many times had that person killed and looted molag bal?

    Just curious.
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