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No alliance change. If you use a race change you are restricted to what YOU can do in the alliance.
Example: You have a breton in DC without any race any alliance: You can only change to Redguard or Orc.
Same breton but with any race any alliance: You can change to anything except Imperial.
So you can only do what you own, and stay in the alliance you already choose.
Specualtion for One Tamriel is that they will make alliance changes available then. But there is no confirmation anywhere, except that it would be easier to implement and only affects pvp.
Aliiance changes would be good for only two of my ten characters, but i would love to have it. Never play on blue or red because of of cyrodiil.
One tamriel wont change that for me. Its just a cost saving plan from ZOS to shut down a few servers. I wonder what they will break in the game by doing so?