100,000 Crown Crates

Faunter

When I first released the Crown Crate Tracker addon last year, I never would have imagined where it was going to lead to. Over the past year, thousands of you have been working together to build something great. We've now somehow managed to accumulate data on over 100,000 crown crates, and it's all because you. To celebrate this incredible milestone, I'm happy to announce that a beta version of https://www.crowncrates.com is now available for testing. The crown crate item drop rates would not exist as they do today if it were not for your involvement. For that, I sincerely thank you.

Best regards,
Faunter

Cpt_Teemo

Might want to lower the droprate of the twitch mount and pet from those #'s to literally non existant now since the huge nerf to crate drops on twitch

DaveMoeDee

Great work!

Hopefully one day publishers will be responsible for providing this information. Until that day, this is a great resource.

It would be interesting to see an analysis of drop rate buckets within a rarity. For example, within Ouroboros Fine (Green), The experience scrolls is much more common than the other items. The other items are all pretty close in number. It would be interesting to hear how many rarity sub-buckets there are within a particular rarity class and our confidence that it is a bucket (base on the spread of the items placed in a category and N).

Such an analysis might not make sense though since drop rates can be tweaked all the time.

augestflex_ESO

I appreciate you providing this!!! Use and love it.

vrine

Well done Faunter! Been a huge fan of your add-on from day one.

magikarper

Thank you for providing crystal clear data that 100% supports my common-sense conclusion that buying crown crates is basically equivalent to lighting money on fire. The new website looks great.

If you are looking for ideas for new features, how about adding a calculator to show what are the odds when someone purchases N number of crates looking for a given reward drop. A common mistake people make is multiplying the odds when opening one crate by the number of crates, and mistakenly thinking the odds are higher than the actual drop rates. Taking it one step further, it would be helpful to show players how many crown crates one would have to purchase to obtain a certain percentage Y% for that given reward drop. E.g., how many crown crates would you have to purchase to get a 50% or 90% chance of getting Z prize to drop. Going one step beyond that, it would great to be able to calculate the cost of getting that 50% or 90% chance (i.e., how many crates do I have to buy multiplied by the per-crate crown cost to obtain that 50% chance of my desired reward drop).

Thanks much for your hard work. It's impossible to calculate how much money you've helped people avoid losing after seeing how poor the odds truly are of obtaining anything more valuable than the common dreck most people get from their free crown crates. But, I'm sure many folks like myself have studied your data and resolved never to waste a single cent on this loot-box lottery system.

f047ys3v3n

Love your tracker man. Truth in gambling.

Mayrael

KUDOS This thread should be bumped till crates will be disabled

Cendrillion21

Transparency is a good thing, thank you for your tracker.

Lake

Amazing site!

Now all y'all search engine optimization people help rank the site.

Kanar

Wow 100k crates. No way is that cash cow ever leaving the game.

Faunter

DaveMoeDee wrote: »

It would be interesting to see an analysis of drop rate buckets within a rarity. For example, within Ouroboros Fine (Green), The experience scrolls is much more common than the other items. The other items are all pretty close in number. It would be interesting to hear how many rarity sub-buckets there are within a particular rarity class and our confidence that it is a bucket (base on the spread of the items placed in a category and N).

magikarper wrote: »

If you are looking for ideas for new features, how about adding a calculator to show what are the odds when someone purchases N number of crates looking for a given reward drop. A common mistake people make is multiplying the odds when opening one crate by the number of crates, and mistakenly thinking the odds are higher than the actual drop rates. Taking it one step further, it would be helpful to show players how many crown crates one would have to purchase to obtain a certain percentage Y% for that given reward drop. E.g., how many crown crates would you have to purchase to get a 50% or 90% chance of getting Z prize to drop. Going one step beyond that, it would great to be able to calculate the cost of getting that 50% or 90% chance (i.e., how many crates do I have to buy multiplied by the per-crate crown cost to obtain that 50% chance of my desired reward drop).

Those are interesting ideas. It's possible that I'll consider implementing some of them, but I'm swamped with other things at the moment. Thanks for your feedback!

magikarper

Faunter wrote: »

DaveMoeDee wrote: »

It would be interesting to see an analysis of drop rate buckets within a rarity. For example, within Ouroboros Fine (Green), The experience scrolls is much more common than the other items. The other items are all pretty close in number. It would be interesting to hear how many rarity sub-buckets there are within a particular rarity class and our confidence that it is a bucket (base on the spread of the items placed in a category and N).

magikarper wrote: »

If you are looking for ideas for new features, how about adding a calculator to show what are the odds when someone purchases N number of crates looking for a given reward drop. A common mistake people make is multiplying the odds when opening one crate by the number of crates, and mistakenly thinking the odds are higher than the actual drop rates. Taking it one step further, it would be helpful to show players how many crown crates one would have to purchase to obtain a certain percentage Y% for that given reward drop. E.g., how many crown crates would you have to purchase to get a 50% or 90% chance of getting Z prize to drop. Going one step beyond that, it would great to be able to calculate the cost of getting that 50% or 90% chance (i.e., how many crates do I have to buy multiplied by the per-crate crown cost to obtain that 50% chance of my desired reward drop).

Those are interesting ideas. It's possible that I'll consider implementing some of them, but I'm swamped with other things at the moment. Thanks for your feedback!

Most important is that your site right now has all the information needed to properly inform a consumer who uses common sense. Not to say that those who spend money on crates despite the horrible odds are acting irrationally. Hopefully, they understand what they are doing and can afford the cost of the thrill of the gamble.

magikarper

[duplicate comment...argh]

Dithieon

Thanks for shining a light on a morally bankrupt company.