The elusive worm cult motif

pdebie64b16_ESO

Around 90 boxes each day since event started, got 8 WC +2 duplicated, last 2 days i got none. Drop rate for all motifs is lowered since day 1 for sure.

Still not complaining.

jedtb16_ESO

xbobx wrote: »

Mephisto939 wrote: »

The drop rate is 2-3% and I have seen no difference in rate on maxed crafter. Some people just jump to conclusions on RNG.

P.S. If anyone has swords for trade on xbox hit me up.

It's not rng because rng means random . Each item has different drop rates meaning it's not exactly random

no... rng means a randomized algorithm that works from a seed. not truly random but as near as damn it.

starkerealm

jedtb16_ESO wrote: »

xbobx wrote: »

Mephisto939 wrote: »

The drop rate is 2-3% and I have seen no difference in rate on maxed crafter. Some people just jump to conclusions on RNG.

P.S. If anyone has swords for trade on xbox hit me up.

It's not rng because rng means random . Each item has different drop rates meaning it's not exactly random

no... rng means a randomized algorithm that works from a seed. not truly random but as near as damn it.

Functionally random, until we earn the ire of RNGesus, who then smites us with worms and sanded maple.

majulook

Got them all on my master crafter today. Have 8 characters all doing 6 writs a day and the quicker daily's.

The bigger the group you have the quicker you can get daily's done, I was in quite a few groups for Daily WB's that the WB died in just a few seconds.

temjiu

My Luck is usually gross. That being said, 14 toons crafting x6 each, so far have gotten 5 + 1 repeat (6 total). Plenty of other motifs, quite a few rare ones as well, enough that I can sell multiple copies of said rare motif's and buy the WC....if I want...rarity =/= good looking. some of the sets are just downright bfugly. fell off the ugly tree hitting every branch on the way down, and once it hit the ground got ran over by a herd of ugly cows on a rampage.

This one is...OK. Heavy style is nice (except for those Dam HIP PLATES! JEEZ ZoS, get it through your head, no one likes Hip plates. they bfugly as in previous paragraph). I'm not holding my breath to get the whole set, but I won't turn them aside. probably sell the better priced ones honestly. I'm looking for other motifs (armiger, mazzatan, etc). so for me, WC is just gravy.

MakoFore

6/300

Remag_Div

This was a pretty good box.

Hanokihs

48 boxes a day, and I got 4 WC motifs so far - pants, sword, gloves, pants again. A nice cache of things I didn't want as well, plus a transmute stone here or there. It's not bad, but not great either.

I've seen exactly 2 of these things for sale at less than 100k+ in guild traders on XB-NA, and those were both priced at 60k. Hopefully by the end, everyone's done hoarding and will flood the market a bit so prices can go down.

bongtokin420insd16

Most common ive seen so far.

6 WC, and 4 BA. The rest are just gravy lol.

krachall

Got my third today after well over 500 boxes.

Morgul667

Didnt have time to get many boxes yesterday but still managed to get one worm motif in my 20 boxes

there seems to be some kind of timer or degressive rate

Unfadingsilence

So far out of 500+ boxes 6 pages and 2 full books

bongtokin420insd16

2 full books?

Whos' Hist are you sucking lol.....

NyassaV

Armatesz wrote: »

Yeah I've opened like 300 give or take... 1 worm cult motif... boots. fml

I'm on about 500 now

NyassaV

Beardimus wrote: »

I've had 5 worm in 24 boxes.

You guys with low rates are you on fully specced master crafters? Any full on crafters i know are getting high rates, i think that's linked to crafting progression like Writs are.

From what i see market is getting flooded already and prices dropping from 100k+ to 30-40k for pages.

Yes. Master crafter will all the skill points. I'm only missed Nirnhoned on a few pieces

Nightfall12

Too bad these things don't have an RNG like those cherry blossom rune boxes….man something that is usable only once on an account those sure did drop way more…..

f047ys3v3n

10/570? Yea, the drop rate is pretty low. After the event it will likely become the most expensive motif in the game though I do not think it will cost near as much as glass did right after it dropped but before ZOS trolled all the players who dropped big coin by dropping it in the crown store after just a couple of weeks.

All that said, I am 0/570 on boyant armitager so if you look at the drop rate for just this event, the worm cult one is almost certainly the highest for any one motif. It is just that this motif only comes from this event so it is going to end up pretty rare.

I don't really have any feelings about whether worm is too common or too rare because I don't know of any convincing arguments regarding whether it should be common or rare. The important thing on drop rates of cosmetic items is really more to not wildly change them then what they actually are.

gresiac

i got 2 pages in 1 day now

Algraxa

gresiac wrote: »

i got 2 pages in 1 day now

I was wondering where mine went.... 60 today and ZERO WC. hardly any others for that matter. I must have pissed off the RNG gods.

Loralai_907

Almost 500 crates opened. Only the 2 WC pages I got on day 1. I'm getting all sorts of other things though. I think I got 3 or 4 BA pages today plus 1 yesterday and 1 the day before that. I pretty much let go of the idea of having WC done this year. Seems highly unlikely, so I am moving on. Focus on selling off all the extra pages I don't need and see how long I can go without spending any gold haha

Shadowfell

I've had 3 from about 50 boxes so far - no duplicates as yet!

Wayshuba

I am getting 72/day from writs and have got maybe 10-12 additional from other dailies/weeklies since this started.

That being said, I have got 8 worm cult pieces so far. So halfway done on the motif with a bit more than half the time remaining for anniversary event.

Marabornwingrion

I'm already preparing 500k gold to buy missing pages from guild traders before event will end, this RNG and extremely low drop chance is not even funny.

Mureel

agegarton wrote: »

I have just (last night) completed my set of Worm Cult. It’s a nice style.

I’m pretty sure the drop rate was nerfed sometime on day 2. This is evidenced not only by how many Cult motifs I took from crates on the first day, and partially on the second day, compared to any day since, but also by the trade price of the motifs. I keep MM data across a number of the bigger trading guilds and a few smaller guilds too (merged data from around 6 major guilds and 3 minor) - the price has shot through the roof, which simply doesn’t happen in an event like this unless the rate falls away.

The nerfed rate is allowing some serious profiteering from motifs. I noticed on EU that Hands had sprung from an initial price of c. 35k to well over 100k as standard. Some are asking 250k. Similar for other pieces, and nothing is currently less than 60k.

I think nerf MAY HAVE happened too, because: I got 2 my first 2 chars of writs but did not do my other chars because I was literally too sick to sit up anymore, and only got 2 more since and that is doing TONNES of dailies.

Or I am just unlucky.

Or both.

I am really bummed tbh because I wanted this as craftable since EVER - and looks like now I am gonna have to buy more pieces than I think is strictly fair.

That being said, the boxes so far even when not motifs have been Useful Things.

AchlysNox

Gotten 3 out of about 400 boxes. Definitely not intended that you should be able to get a full set simply from playing during the event, which leads me to wonder why that is?

drkfrontiers

This is what you get when you flood the forums with complaints because the motifs drop rate is too high.

THIS IS WHY WE CANNOT HAVE NICE THINGS.

Human greed. Community will rather have something stupidly rare so they can make a fortune than allow everyone to enjoy the fun.

Mureel

drkfrontiers wrote: »

This is what you get when you flood the forums with complaints because the motifs drop rate is too high.

THIS IS WHY WE CANNOT HAVE NICE THINGS.

Human greed. Community will rather have something stupidly rare so they can make a fortune than allow everyone to enjoy the fun.

Were there 'droprate too high' threads? I missed them if so!

DanteYoda

I think i opened a free one and got helmets? super ugly tbh...

drkfrontiers

Mureel wrote: »

drkfrontiers wrote: »

This is what you get when you flood the forums with complaints because the motifs drop rate is too high.

THIS IS WHY WE CANNOT HAVE NICE THINGS.

Human greed. Community will rather have something stupidly rare so they can make a fortune than allow everyone to enjoy the fun.

Were there 'droprate too high' threads? I missed them if so!

Apologies by thread I meant comment in threads about the drop rates - my bad. My point is drop rates were good, people complained, and now they horrid.

Mureel

drkfrontiers wrote: »

Mureel wrote: »

drkfrontiers wrote: »

This is what you get when you flood the forums with complaints because the motifs drop rate is too high.

THIS IS WHY WE CANNOT HAVE NICE THINGS.

Human greed. Community will rather have something stupidly rare so they can make a fortune than allow everyone to enjoy the fun.

Were there 'droprate too high' threads? I missed them if so!

Apologies by thread I meant comment in threads about the drop rates - my bad. My point is drop rates were good, people complained, and now they horrid.

Ah yeah - a lot of people were saying they're fine. That is true.