Hypothetical vMSA loot question

NinthPrince64

This is purely intellectual curiosity on my part.

Suppose that when entering vMSA you were given an choice. You can either play for a random outcome using the RNG probabilities as they exist today, OR you can play for a token. Assume collecting a certain number of tokens would allow you to pick the exact weapon of your choice.

Clearly, if that required number of tokens is small, everyone would pick the token option. Alternatively, if the number is extremely large, everyone (broadly speaking) would chose to play under the current RNG.

My question is, what would the number of required tokens be that would make you indifferent between the two choices? (Please, if we can avoid going off on a tangent of whether the current system is "good" or "bad", that would be great. Thx.)

Erasure

Is this veiled data gathering, I wonder?

I think my number would be 20.

static_recharge

I have yet to complete it, mostly due to lack of time. However I have gotten to the latter stages. I feel that the number for me would be around 20-30. Interesting concept.

Wollust

That's one tough question.

If I am looking for a specific weapon with a specific trait, I would say my indifference point would be at something like 30-35 tokens. 30 tokens would translate into something like 20-22 hours grind or so. Which I think is a reasonable amount of time for getting a BiS weapon.

Emencie

There would be no number too high for me.

Guaranteed weapon + trait at 10, 50, or 100 runs will always be better to me than RNG.

I have terrible luck.