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Moondancer Sharpened destro staffs drop chance, RNG a myth?

Wrecking_Blow_Spam
Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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After running nMoL over 20 times recently on console past month (buggy) not 1 single destro sharpened staff of Moondancer has dropped for anyone, unless they kept it secret.

Many sharpened resto, sharpened infernos of twilight, Alkosh etc.

20 runs minimum x 7 chests (140) for 12ppl = 1680 not including the final chest, many have the CP chest passive too.

1680 chests and not 1 sharpened moon that is crazy (not include final boss chest)

Also the actual lightning/fire moon staffs virtually don't drop even in bad trait but they drop many lightning/fire of Alkosh, twilight and lunar coincidence? I think not RNG is a myth.
It is all pre determined imo.
Edited by Wrecking_Blow_Spam on May 3, 2017 4:06PM
Xbox one EU
8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
Doesn't stand in red
  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    To put into perspective there's been at least 30 sharpened restos of moondancer.
    That is not RNG.
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • Voxicity
    Voxicity
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    20 runs is definitely not enough. With the loot manager addon and probably 150ish runs I've seen like 3 sharpened staves and 1 sword
  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    KaiVox22 wrote: »
    20 runs is definitely not enough. With the loot manager addon and probably 150ish runs I've seen like 3 sharpened staves and 1 sword

    Combine 12 ppl

    Over 1680 chests add boss chest 240 (20x12) =
    1920 chests.

    1920 chests that is nuts.

    And I said minimum, it's been more like 25 runs total.
    That's is enough.
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • timidobserver
    timidobserver
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    I personally think that RNG is bugged, but the nature of RNG makes that impossible to prove.
    V16 Uriel Stormblessed EP Magicka Templar(main)
    V16 Derelict Vagabond EP Stamina DK
    V16 Redacted Ep Stam Sorc
    V16 Insolent EP Magicka Sorc(retired)
    V16 Jed I Nyte EP Stamina NB(retired)

  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    KaiVox22 wrote: »
    20 runs is definitely not enough. With the loot manager addon and probably 150ish runs I've seen like 3 sharpened staves and 1 sword

    I just re read your post 150 runs with 12 people and only 3 sharpened destros? Wtf?
    That's not RNG.
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • Feanor
    Feanor
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    Well @Wrobel says RNG is EXCITING. Go figure.
    Main characters: Feanor the Believer - AD Altmer mSorc - AR 50 - Flawless Conqueror (PC EU)Idril Arnanor - AD Altmer mSorc - CP 217 - Stormproof (PC NA)Other characters:
    Necrophilius Killgood - DC Imperial NecromancerFearscales - AD Argonian Templar - Stormproof (healer)Draco Imperialis - AD Imperial DK (tank)Cabed Naearamarth - AD Dunmer mDKValirion Willowthorne - AD Bosmer stamBladeTuruna - AD Altmer magBladeKheled Zaram - AD Redguard stamDKKibil Nala - AD Redguard stamSorc - StormproofYavanna Kémentárí - AD Breton magWardenAzog gro-Ghâsh - EP Orc stamWardenVidar Drakenblød - DC Nord mDKMarquis de Peyrac - DC Breton mSorc - StormproofRawlith Khaj'ra - AD Khajiit stamWardenTu'waccah - AD Redguard Stamplar
    All chars 50 @ CP 1900+. Playing and enjoying PvP with RdK mostly on PC EU.
  • DjMuscleboy02
    DjMuscleboy02
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    Try running vma a couple hundred times and having nothing to show for it. Average run takes me 40-60 minutes depending on if I'm watching Netflix or not so assuming every run is about 50 minutes, that would be ~166 hours of vma for nothing. Imagine working a job you hate for 4 weeks for free.
    Brodor - PC NA - ESO's only pure bodybuilding guild
    Hodor, but stronger
  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    Try running vma a couple hundred times and having nothing to show for it. Average run takes me 40-60 minutes depending on if I'm watching Netflix or not so assuming every run is about 50 minutes, that would be ~166 hours of vma for nothing. Imagine working a job you hate for 4 weeks for free.

    I know the VMA grind I've been there and done it.

    What I'm talking about is the odds.

    2000 chests with no sharpened stafffs, that's not RNG.

    I know ppl go insane in VMA after 100-200 runs all I'm saying is the RNG is a lie.
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • Oreyn_Bearclaw
    Oreyn_Bearclaw
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    If it makes you feel better, the set will be trash in a month.

    I have been running VMOL multiple times a week for about a year now. I have personally got 2 of these bad boys (sold one to a guildie), but I have never seen a sharp moondancer sword drop in any run I have been in, and only seen one sharp lighting staff (which I paid a lot for). I could give a sharp moondancer resto to everyone in my raid. Yep, the RNG sucks.
  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    If it makes you feel better, the set will be trash in a month.

    I have been running VMOL multiple times a week for about a year now. I have personally got 2 of these bad boys (sold one to a guildie), but I have never seen a sharp moondancer sword drop in any run I have been in, and only seen one sharp lighting staff (which I paid a lot for). I could give a sharp moondancer resto to everyone in my raid. Yep, the RNG sucks.

    I have a sharpened moon sword and why will the set be trash in a few months?

    I mainly want the staffs cus the look sweet.

    It'll likely be same setup as I usual but with enchants for recovery/reduced cost.
    Edited by Wrecking_Blow_Spam on May 3, 2017 5:01PM
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • getemshauna
    getemshauna
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    I dropped moondancer inferno sharpened by my first mol run ever. No joke. I didnt know value of this staff yet.
    Edited by getemshauna on May 3, 2017 9:35PM
    Founder of Call of the Undaunted
    Youtube Channel
  • spencer2361
    spencer2361
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    RNG is their safety valve so people don't scream about content. From a pve standpoint, if you had bis gear, what would there be to do. It sucks but that's my theory.
  • Pwnyridah
    Pwnyridah
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    RNG is weighted depending on the item, trait, and also where it can drop, etc... I very much doubt that all drops/traits have an even chance of dropping.
  • Marabornwingrion
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    I got my sharpened inferno from intermediate chest in a room before last boss, and sharpened lighting dropped from chest after defeating last boss. Both dropped on normal MoL. :) I also had resto and ice staves in sharpened, but deconstructed them.
  • F7sus4
    F7sus4
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    Our group was raiding vMOL for past 9 months usually 2-3 times a week (or more as a guest). During the time we had exactly four drops of this:

    Moondancer1.png

    And two drops of this:

    Moondancer2.png

    The amount of vMOL runs counts in hundreds if not thousands and I'm not even taking numerous nMOL farm-runs into account.

    Edited by F7sus4 on May 3, 2017 10:01PM
  • xeNNNNN
    xeNNNNN
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    I have a sharpened moondancer inferno :) prefer to use my VMA inferno tho tbh.
    Ah, e-communities - the "pinnacle" of the internet............yeah, right.
  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    F7sus4 wrote: »
    Our group was raiding vMOL for past 9 months usually 2-3 times a week (or more as a guest). During the time we had exactly four drops of this:

    Moondancer1.png

    And two drops of this:

    Moondancer2.png

    The amount of vMOL runs counts in hundreds if not thousands and I'm not even taking numerous nMOL farm-runs into account.

    Well that's settled then I'm never getting this staff lol
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • electromagnets
    electromagnets
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    This may be an example of how they "balance" the rng statistics... A few weeks ago I was in a pug nMoL farm run, and 1 guy got TWO sharp moondancer inferno staves - 1 from a trash mob and 1 from Rakkhat's chest. Saw it with my own eyes via grouploot.

    He kept them both, even with offers from group members of 1.5 mil...
  • Wrecking_Blow_Spam
    Wrecking_Blow_Spam
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    This may be an example of how they "balance" the rng statistics... A few weeks ago I was in a pug nMoL farm run, and 1 guy got TWO sharp moondancer inferno staves - 1 from a trash mob and 1 from Rakkhat's chest. Saw it with my own eyes via grouploot.

    He kept them both, even with offers from group members of 1.5 mil...

    wow that is nuts and crazy he didnt accept
    Xbox one EU
    8 Flawless conquerors on all class specs (4 stam, 4 magicka)
    Doesn't stand in red
  • idk
    idk
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    Have cleared vMoL countless times and never got one until one week I got 2 Sharpened Moondancer inferno staves. Still waiting on the sharpened lightning stave.
  • Tasear
    Tasear
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    We we just doing a normal run of nmol :tired_face: got a fire sharpened moon dancer in coffee and lighting from last boss for two people.
  • Tasear
    Tasear
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    Tasear wrote: »
    We we just doing a normal run of nmol :tired_face: got a fire sharpened moon dancer in coffee and lighting from last boss for two people. But I just want a twlight remedy lighting staff in powered, sharpened,
    infused, charged, or defending

  • LordSarevok
    LordSarevok
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    True rng is not weighted. If you think this loot system is not weighted, you have not done much reading of the threads that prove it.
  • SquareSausage
    SquareSausage
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    It is RNG, but the odds are not even, some items are more common than others, and some traits more common than other.

    This was proven when ZoS said they were normalising drops in vMA so resto staves drop rate was reduced. Ie some items had a higher chance than others to drop.
    Breakfast King
    PS4 EU
  • electromagnets
    electromagnets
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    Oh it's absolutely not true rng. I don't doubt that it's random, but certainly only based on criteria that zos plugs in to the equation.
  • Vaoh
    Vaoh
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    I've ran vMoL hundreds of times with my raid group. I've also ran nMoL a lot as well.

    Last month, Rakkhat dropped for me a sharpened Moondancer Lighting staff. A few weeks later, my guild leader gave me a sharpened Moondancer Inferno staff he also received from Rakkhat.

    This process took over 8 months of grinding. It is f***ing ridiculous. No other way to put it. For me the vMA grind was not as bad ("only" took a few hundred runs for sharpened Inferno/Lightning vMA staves)

    Do not attempt this grind.

    If you really want to have that 4-piece spell damage bonus I would recommend waiting for Morrowind at this point to farm, since there will be a set that has the exact same 2/3/4 piece bonuses as Moondancer and will probably look really cool.

    Hope that helped.....
  • Troneon
    Troneon
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    Not worth the bother like pretty much everything in ESO right now.

    Only for a better item to come out in a patch months later....behind a pay wall fake expansion...

    Edited by Troneon on May 4, 2017 8:39AM
    PC EU AD
    Master Crafter - Anything you need!!
    High Elf Magicka Templar Healer/DPS/Tank
    Trials / Dungeons / PVP / Everything
  • peak99
    peak99
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    All weapon drops are not created equal

    Approx
    15% each resto/bow/shield (45%);
    7% each 1h (28%)
    5% each 2H (30%)

    Rough est., don't have the exact numbers in front of me.


    It sucks. I know.
  • Feanor
    Feanor
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    Is 129 SD worth 8 months? I doubt though. This is the thing ZOS doesn't see. RNG keeps people grinding, yes, but if the drop rates are so abysmal people will just stop doing the content altogether and in the worst case quit the game. It says something I was absolutely overjoyed when I got my vMA Inferno. It was charged and the first stave I ever saw in there.
    Main characters: Feanor the Believer - AD Altmer mSorc - AR 50 - Flawless Conqueror (PC EU)Idril Arnanor - AD Altmer mSorc - CP 217 - Stormproof (PC NA)Other characters:
    Necrophilius Killgood - DC Imperial NecromancerFearscales - AD Argonian Templar - Stormproof (healer)Draco Imperialis - AD Imperial DK (tank)Cabed Naearamarth - AD Dunmer mDKValirion Willowthorne - AD Bosmer stamBladeTuruna - AD Altmer magBladeKheled Zaram - AD Redguard stamDKKibil Nala - AD Redguard stamSorc - StormproofYavanna Kémentárí - AD Breton magWardenAzog gro-Ghâsh - EP Orc stamWardenVidar Drakenblød - DC Nord mDKMarquis de Peyrac - DC Breton mSorc - StormproofRawlith Khaj'ra - AD Khajiit stamWardenTu'waccah - AD Redguard Stamplar
    All chars 50 @ CP 1900+. Playing and enjoying PvP with RdK mostly on PC EU.
  • zaria
    zaria
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    Feanor wrote: »
    Is 129 SD worth 8 months? I doubt though. This is the thing ZOS doesn't see. RNG keeps people grinding, yes, but if the drop rates are so abysmal people will just stop doing the content altogether and in the worst case quit the game. It says something I was absolutely overjoyed when I got my vMA Inferno. It was charged and the first stave I ever saw in there.
    Do the content for fun / challenge and the armor drops.
    Treat the weapon drops as an lottery ticket who got bundled.
    You see this very well in the price of the overland sets
    Purple necropotente jewelry is 6-7K chest who is most expensive armor part is 30, staff is 400K.
    Grinding just make you go in circles.
    Asking ZoS for nerfs is as stupid as asking for close air support from the death star.
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